Foreign content creeping higher

By Steven Lamb | January 31, 2006 | Last updated on January 31, 2006
3 min read

Canadian investors appear to be slowly ratcheting up their exposure to foreign markets, possibly heeding advice to take some profits from the three-year Canadian equity rally.

A recent poll by RBC Financial Group found that there has been a slight increase in foreign holdings in RRSPs, but that Canadians still prefer domestic investments for the bulk of their retirement savings.

Still, the survey found foreign content holdings had risen to 14% in 2005, following the elimination of the 30% foreign property, from 11% in 2004. This may be as far as investors want to go, at present, as 79% said they had no intention to increase their foreign stake.

A small percentage showed more spirit for adventure, as 12% said they planned to increase their exposure to foreign markets over the next 12 months, with almost one-third of those saying they expected superior returns.

“Canadians are still testing the waters when it comes to foreign investing, but our survey results suggest that some of us are preparing to wade in a little deeper,” said Dave Richardson, vice-president, RBC Asset Management. “It’s still relatively soon after foreign content restrictions have been lifted and investors may need more transition time to work with their financial advisors to learn about the opportunities available to them in foreign markets.”

There is plenty of room for advice in this field, as 62% of respondents said they were confused by the number of products on the market.

“Investors should keep in mind that investing in foreign funds is a way to broaden their exposure, reduce risk and strengthen their portfolios,” said Richardson.

Don Reed, president and CEO, Franklin Templeton Investments, believes it is likely that Canadian investors will increase their foreign exposure to 60% over the course of several years, a level he says he would be comfortable with.

Reed notes the strong gains in the Canadian equities over the past three years have led to investment portfolios massively over-exposed to the domestic market and that now is the time to take some profits off the table.

While many clients are familiar with the notion of selling investments that have appreciated, they should be reminded that currency can be considered in the same way. Reed points out that the Canadian dollar has gained 35% over the past three years and believes that economically, the current valuation is unsustainable.

Meanwhile, European stocks remain undervalued by several key measures, despite a strong performance across the EU in 2005. The overall price to earnings ratio for European equities is 15.3x compared to the global average of 17.6x, yielding a 2.7% dividend compared to the global average of 2.1%. North American stocks — the primary holdings of Canadian investors — offer below average dividends at 1.8%.

Dividend growth is expected to be a driver of global investment returns, as low interest rates have allowed companies to pay down huge amounts of debt, according to Lisa Myers, vice president, Templeton Global Advisors and co-lead manager of the new Templeton Global Income Fund.

“Global companies have the balance sheet flexibility to grow from where we are,” she says. “High free cash flow and strong balance sheets give us confidence about future global growth and stock returns.”

Filed by Steven Lamb, Advisor.ca, steven.lamb@advisor.rogers.com

(01/31/06)

Steven Lamb