Canadians spending on travel and services but cutting back on restaurants, goods

Canadians are continuing to spend on holidays and non-essential services, but are cutting back on restaurants and goods, according to the findings in a new report from Royal Bank of Canada.

RBC’s latest spending tracker found that while overall spending was steady in March, there were some signs of weakness in goods spending, mirroring a pullback in auto sales.

Auto sales in March were up 3.7%, according to DesRosiers Automotive Consultants Inc., but the seasonally adjusted rate of sales was 1.59 million, lower than the first two months of the year where that measure was around 1.7 million.

When adjusted for inflation, restaurant spending fell by 0.6% on average in the first quarter of 2023, a relatively small decline, said RBC economist Carrie Freestone.

RBC’s spending tracker shows that while spending on goods is slipping, spending on non-essential services is still strong.

Freestone said RBC expects to see a more pronounced pullback in discretionary spending once the impact of the Bank of Canada’s interest rate hikes is fully felt.

The central bank paused rate hikes at its most recent meeting in order to let their effects work through the economy.

Consumer spending is one of several economic data points that has remained resilient despite persistent inflation and rising interest rates.

In the fourth quarter of 2022, despite real GDP being unchanged, consumer spending was up 0.5%.

The central bank’s next rate decision is scheduled for April 12.

RBC’s February report found Canadians were making fewer grocery store runs but still spending around the same amount per trip.

Meanwhile, in March, the number of grocery transactions was essentially flat.

Food inflation has been outpacing overall inflation, with the price of groceries up 10.6% year over year in February compared with 5.2% for overall inflation.

The Canadian Press

The Canadian Press is a national news agency headquartered in Toronto and founded in 1917.